Posts Tagged Economy

When Life Insurance Becomes a Liability

OWNING life insurance is supposed to make you feel more secure. These days, it’s often a source of anxiety instead.

People who are less wealthy suddenly need a bigger policy to protect their families. People whose policy investments have been battered face unexpected premium increases. And even those who feel adequately insured at affordable prices are worried about their insurers’ ability to meet financial commitments.

In addition to investment losses, premium increases have shocked many people. “This is a real issue for clients who own variable policies,” said Loretta Nolan, president of Loretta Nolan Associates, a certified financial planner in Old Greenwich, Conn.

These policies combine insurance protection with a tax-deferred investment account that helps to pay the premiums. During the bull market, they promised investment returns high enough to limit the size and duration of premium payments. But the marketers didn’t stress the downside: if investment performance falls short, policyholders must spend more on premiums.

And that’s what has happened. Now, policyholders must pay higher premiums, for more years, to maintain their current level of insurance. The alternative is to reduce the coverage, which sometimes leads to a surrender charge.

If you’re in this situation, do a policy stress test, advised Ms. Nolan: ask the insurer to project your future premiums, assuming the policy investments earn a modest 4 percent return. If that shows you can’t afford the premiums, you need to consider alternatives.

If your priority is keeping your insurance, Ms. Nolan suggested replacing some of your variable coverage with a less-expensive term policy. For example, if you have a $500,000 variable policy, you might buy $300,000 of term insurance and trim your variable policy to $200,000, keeping your total premiums affordable. But if you see the variable policy chiefly as an investment loss — and don’t need the insurance — you might want to exchange it for an annuity, said Glenn Daily, a fee-only insurance consultant in Manhattan. The exchange is a tax-free transaction (called a 1035 exchange) that lets you use your loss to offset taxes on future gains. If you lost $30,000 in the variable policy, for example, your first $30,000 of gain in the annuity would be tax-free.

If your net worth has taken a 30 percent hit, advisers say you probably need more insurance to protect your family, at least until your stock portfolio and your home regain value.

Determining how much you need is more an art than a science, said Richard B. Freeman of Round Table Services, a Westport, Conn., wealth management firm. Instead of relying on a software program that would probably recommend more than you would ever buy, he suggested that you think in terms of two lump sums — one to pay off your mortgage and cover your children’s college education and the other to create income for your survivors.

A nonworking spouse needs insurance, too, added Mr. Freeman: “If Mom’s home with the kids, her policy has to do more than hire a nanny and a housekeeper. It should be big enough to let Dad take a job with shorter hours closer to home, so he can have more time with the kids if he’s the surviving parent.”

The cheapest way to increase your coverage is with term insurance, often available in a group plan through your employer. But that is not necessarily the cheapest way to buy it. If you’re healthy, you might get a better deal by shopping for an individual term policy, said Mark Cortazzo, senior partner at Macro Consulting Group, a Parsippany, N.J., financial adviser, especially if you’re a woman in a state with unisex rating for group insurance.

If you’re in poor health, you might want to buy as much group insurance as possible at work. You can usually convert it to an individual policy without evidence of insurability, albeit at a price, when you leave the job, Mr. Cortazzo said.

If you have serious health problems, you should avoid the standard application process for individual coverage because your application will probably be rejected after the medical exam. With each rejection it is harder to find coverage.

Instead, you should enlist a broker who specializes in the high-risk market to present your case informally to insurers. He can make sure you formally apply only to those companies that will accept you. You may soon have more options if insurers with highly publicized financial difficulties relax their underwriting standards to maintain their sales volume, said Wil Heupel, managing principal of Accredited Investors, a Minneapolis financial planning firm.

So how do you avoid buying insurance from a company whose health is worse than your own? Advisers say that if you’re buying more than $3 million in coverage it’s prudent to diversify among several highly rated companies.

“Work with a broker who sells the policies of many carriers,” Mr. Freeman said. An agent represents only one, whose problems he may minimize.

( Source NYT)

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More Investors, Chastened by Stock Losses, Settle for Municipal Bonds

THE historic lure of most municipal bonds has been their tax-free returns. But the recession and the rash of corporate troubles have widened their appeal to investors wary of the stock market who want to settle for a steady if unspectacular return.

Municipal bonds are still the terrain of high earners, who like their safety and higher tax-adjusted return than Treasury bonds. But increasingly average retail investors have been buying them to fill out their bond allocations. “Our average account has increased their asset allocation in fixed income to 52 percent and most of that is in munis,” said Robert Everett, director of fixed income at the Boston Private Bank and Trust Company. He said that was an increase of 15 percentage points from last year.

Even though the major stock markets have risen in the last month, uncertainty about the rally abounds. Suddenly, the return on a municipal bond of 6 to 7 percent, including the tax exemption, seems great.

The other draw has been safety. Historically, the default rate on investment-grade munis is less than a quarter of a percent, compared with almost 2 percent for corporate bonds. And the difference in yield between United States Treasuries and munis has recently been as much as 2.5 percent.

Given the pressure on city and state coffers, the default rate is likely to rise closer to 1 percent. But that is far lower than the yields on munis suggests, said George Strickland, a managing director at Thornburg Investment Management of Santa Fe, N.M. “The market thinks 20 percent of investment grade issuers will default in the next 10 years,” he said. “The major muni issuers are doing well.”

Being selective with munis is key. The first risk investors need to understand is the difference between general obligation and revenue bonds. General obligation bonds are sold to finance the daily operations of a municipality. Legally, that entity is obligated to do whatever it needs — from cutting services to raising taxes — to make its bond payments.

A revenue bond is sold to finance particular projects like hospitals, utilities and stadiums. The receipts from such projects are used to make the bond payments, and many investors have started to wonder how these will hold up.

“Stay away from revenue bonds, backed by projects like a parking lot at a university,” warned Gregg S. Fisher, chief investment officer of Gerstein Fisher, an investment advisory firm in New York. “If cars stop showing up, then you could have trouble getting your money.”

Hospital bonds also need to be evaluated carefully. “Community hospitals with A and BBB ratings are feeling the pinch because people without insurance go to them and can’t pay,” said Ronald J. Sanchez, director of fixed income strategies at Fiduciary Trust, a unit of Franklin Templeton Investments. “You need to avoid certain segments with greater risk.”

This points to another issue: liquidity. Roughly $360 billion of new bonds are sold annually. New York and California are the benchmark issuers and their bonds are traded often. But there are scores of municipalities that sell bonds that buyers may have to hold for their duration because of illiquid markets.

Munis are traded in an over-the-counter fashion, which means finding a price quote, let alone a buyer, can be difficult at times.

For those aware of the risk, there are investing opportunities. During the first quarter, few municipalities sold bonds because they were waiting to see what the stimulus plan would bring them. Now, cities and states are making up for lost time.

Several portfolio managers advise that shorter-dated munis are safer. “The longer the duration the more volatility,” said Mr. Strickland, who likes the two- to three-year range.

Diversification is also being pushed for munis. Historically investors have concentrated on bonds from their state to get the full tax deduction. But owning bonds from other states could give them a greater return, as in the case of California, where a fiscal crisis has pushed up yields.

The recession has brought about new securities, known as Build America Bonds, to help ailing municipalities raise money. They allow municipalities to sell taxable bonds for capital projects while receiving a rebate from the federal government for a portion of their borrowing costs. The program is meant to attract institutional investors who typically do not buy munis. But they could also suit a retail investor who wants to put them in a taxable retirement account.

Source NYT

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Mexico: The damage of H1N1 flu is about 2.2 billions USD

mexicoTo cope with the pandemic, the Government will implement Mexico stimulation package worth 1.3 billion USD, mainly to support small business and tourism. This is the object most damage from the spread the H1N1 flu to top this month. According to Finance Minister Agustin Carstens, pandemic has cost targets of Mexico at least 2.2 billion USD.

Tourism is the third largest source of income from abroad in Mexico. But this sector is the loss of the capacity of hotel rooms at a reduced half compared with normal. Many airlines also canceled flights because of disease Bùng.

Temporarily, the government will free account health insurance that small businesses must be closed to workers, reduce taxes for airline and train travel.

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Wal-Mart spends 2 milion USD to overcome scandal

rushprnewsRetailers leading the world for 2 million USD to the factories to remove a person died due to reduction in the gym on Friday evening last black last year. However, victim family hue and cry. Holidays in the U.S. is usually the opportunity to hand a strong retail promotion to stimulate shopping. Friday after Thanksgiving in the U.S. is called Black Friday - Black Friday evening and is having a sale the largest in years. Most items are discounted all sizes, has also suspended the sale sea off up to 90% during this period.

In black on Friday at the end of the year 2008, thousands of people know about the retailer’s Wal-Mart supermarket chain when applying this policy more attractive price. Jdimytai Damour, workers position just for a job, being stuck in crowds 2000 and last deaths breathing break. Besides Damour underprivileged have 11 other people injured, including a pregnant woman.

After several months of investigation, both the Wednesday and then, the retail world’s largest Wal-Mart entente by agreeing to spend 2 million USD to overcome consequences. The only U.S. $ 400,000 be used to indemnify the victims and 1.5 million for the advanced security in 92 retail stores of Wal-Mart in New York. Agreements not mentioned errors by Wal-Mart in death on pitiful.

Person responsible for the service, Ms. Kathleen Rice, a lawyer Nassau county (New York) that if taken to the Wal-Mart’s court, the fine for retailers more than $ 10,000 also. Instead, she choose another way is to force Wal-Mart to ensure safety for customers. “Our goal is to create a gold standard for industry and retail in the management of crowds,” she said.

Agreement, Wal-Mart and two top industry experts will discuss the management of crowds for employers in New York. Then, two experts will monitor the compliance of safety regulations in the system retailer.

Two Wal-Mart and lawyers for the acceptance are satisfied with the results achieved. However, families of the victims against the intent and agreements that have been offensive to people who lost. Edward H. Gersowitz, lawyers Jdimytai by Damour also call this action and unprincipled attitudes often considered victims. He declared: “The Wal-Mart used money to” buy break “the investigation as proof for long pompous thói’s retailers this. Family Jdimytai Damour The case for the court.

In the agreement, a term specify that if the victims received any compensation money from Wal-Mart means to them to waive the right of the American retail sector this court.

(Resource AP)

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2,000 jobs at risk at Corus plant on Teesside

One of Teesside’s last remaining steel plants is facing sudden closure after four international companies ditched a 10-year contract upon which it depends.

Corus, now owned by Indian conglomerate Tata, has been forced to warn almost two thousand workers at Teesside Cast Products plant in Redcar that they face redundancy if the four companies do not fulfil their legal obligations.

In an extraordinary move, the four firms sent a letter to Kirby Adams, the new chief executive of Corus, informing him that they were stopping orders from the plant with immediate effect.

Corus has reacted angrily claiming that the firms, Marcegaglia of Italy, Dongkuk Steel Mills of South Korea, Duferco Participations of Switzerland, and Alvory of Argentina, have breached a contract to buy 78pc of the plant’s production for ten years that they signed in 2004.

Corus claims that the consortium have benefited from the rise in steel price for the first years and are now walking away because of difficulties in the steel market.

Mr Adams said: “I am extremely disappointed that the consortium members have seen fit to take this irresponsible action.”

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3,000 Corus jobs under threat after consortium pulls out of contract

The Prime Minister led widespread condemnation of the firms which suddenly scrapped a 10-year deal to buy steel from Teesside Cast Products. Corus said it had no choice but to mothball the landmark plant which is responsible for nearly 25pc of Britain’s steel output.

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Mr Brown said: “The workers have served the contract that they have been engaged on very well indeed. We are doing everything in our power to ensure that the contract is upheld.”

Kirby Adams, Corus’s new chief executive, said: “This is a nasty way of doing business. The villains are these four companies, the victims are our employees who have just been cast aside. We are outraged.”

Mr Adams had been in the job just two days when he received a letter from the four firms – Marcegaglia of Italy, Dongkuk Steel of South Korea, Duferco Participations of Switzerland, and Alvory of Argentina – informing him that they were terminating a 10-year contract to buy 78pc of Teesside’s production that they signed in 2004.

The consortium agreed to meet Corus this week to discuss the contract but still refused to honour it. Demand for steel has halved in Europe and North America in the past year. It is thought the firms plan to buy steel more cheaply elsewhere. Mr Adams said he was particularly outraged because the consortium had benefited from soaring steel prices in previous years. He said: “The contract allowed them to buy the steel at cost price so these companies have made hundreds of millions of pounds from Teesside during the good years. Now times are tough and they say they’re off. It’s unacceptable.”

Corus said it was using “all legal means” to ensure the terms of the 10-year agreement were fully enforced and that the four consortium members fulfilled their contractual obligations.

But, with just two weeks of orders in the pipeline, Corus said it has no choice but to start the process of winding down the plant. The company will start a 90-day consultation with Teesside’s workers and unions. It is a body-blow to Teesside, which has already suffered heavy job losses as a result of the crisis in the car industry. The plant employs 2,000 workers directly and another 1,000 jobs depend upon it.

Lord Mandelson, the business minister, said: “It is essential that Corus does everything it can legally, and with the Government’s assistance, to reinstate the off-take agreement. It is unacceptable that such a development should threaten jobs on such a scale, with such a potentially devastating impact on the area.

“The Government stands ready to do what it can to support the company. We are not prepared to reconcile ourselves to inevitable closure of this plant.”

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Congress Delays Action on Auto Industry Loans

Congress faced a big question this week, but the answer will have to wait. The heads of the Big Three American automakers came to Washington to ask for money — on their private jets, critics noted. The chiefs of General Motors, Ford and Chrysler asked for twenty-five billion dollars in new loans. Congress already approved twenty-five billion in September to help the industry develop fuel-efficient vehicles.

Democratic leaders in Congress proposed to offer the additional loans with money from the financial rescue program approved last month. But Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson objected. He says the seven hundred billion dollars is just for investing to strengthen the financial system.

On Thursday, a group of Senate Democrats and Republicans announced agreement on a compromise. It would let the companies temporarily use the fuel-efficiency loans to pay for daily operations. G.M. and Chrysler both say they could be out of money by early next year.

But Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid says there are currently not enough votes in Congress to pass any bailout plan for automakers. He says they failed to make their case that this appeal will be the last.

The companies now have until December second to explain how they would use the loans as part of long-term plans to save their businesses. Congress is prepared to consider the plans the week of December eighth.

Peter Morici, a professor of international business at the University of Maryland, is among economists who oppose a bailout. He appeared at this week’s hearings. He says the Big Three should be permitted to fail. If they seek bankruptcy protection, he says, they will be able to cut costs, reorganize and become competitive again.

But General Motors chief executive Rick Wagoner warned that the economy could lose three million jobs in the first year if the Big Three fail. They employ a total of about two hundred forty thousand people. But that does not include dealers or suppliers or the auto parts industry. Auto sales, though sharply reduced now, usually represent about four percent of the economy.

The industry chiefs blamed the credit crisis for keeping people from getting car loans. But lawmakers said poor business decisions have hurt the Big Three. Autodata Corporation says fifty-three percent of new cars and light trucks sold in the United States in the first ten months of this year were imported. (VOA News )

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International Monetary Fund Says World Economy Will Shrink This Year

The World Bank and the International Monetary Fund will meet in Washington, D.C. Saturday and Sunday. One subject for discussion will be falling expectations for world economic growth.

A new report by the I.M.F. estimates that the world economy will shrink by one and three-tenths percent this year. That would be the worst performance in more than sixty years. Three months ago, the I.M.F. predicted a small growth for this year.

Major industrialized economies are expected to see the biggest decreases, shrinking by almost four percent. The I.M.F. predicts developing economies will continue to grow for the year, but only by about one and one-half percent.

The I.M.F. says the world will slowly return to growth of almost two percent next year. But the lending organization warns that strong policies to supervise and support the financial system are needed if the world economy is to fully recovery.

Olivier Blanchard is the chief economist for the I.M.F. He has said that banks are still in the process of rebuilding their financial positions. He added that securities markets are still operating poorly.

Economic experts believe the world financial industry is moving towards recovery but with more losses to come. In all, the I.M.F. says worldwide financial losses could be as high as four trillion dollars by the end of next year. World trade is expected to drop eleven percent this year, after expanding by three percent last year.

The I.M.F. report says international lending may not fully recover until two thousand eleven. The financial crisis has made the I.M.F. more important than ever. The world’s largest economies promised to increase the size of the fund by about five hundred billion dollars. They did so at the G-Twenty meeting in London earlier this month. This week, President Obama proposed that the United States lend the I.M.F. one hundred billion dollars as part of that promise.

Last week, Mexico became the first nation to borrow from the I.M.F. under a new program to provide emergency credit to nations with strong economies. Mexico received a forty-seven billion dollar line of credit for one year. Poland and Colombia are also seeking loans from the program.

And that’s the VOA Special English Economics Report, written by Mario Ritter. You can find more financial news, plus transcripts and archives of our programs at voaspecialenglish.com. I’m Steve Ember. ( VOA News)

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Restarting exports to Russia and learning old lessons

After four months, Russia has decided to open its doors again to Vietnamese seafood exports. 30 Vietnamese enterprises have been allowed to export shrimp, grilled chopped fish, dried seafood products, tra and basa fish to the market. According to Duong Ngoc Minh, General Director of the Tien Giang-based Hung Vuong Joint Stock Company, Head of the Management Committee for Tra fish Export Management, tra exports sent to the market may bring in $200mil in turnover in 2009 and increase further in the coming years. Minh said that Russia is a market with great potential which deserves the attention of Vietnamese seafood companies. Not lacking material fish In the first three months of the year, 122 markets reportedly imported seafood from Vietnam, 37 markets fewer than in the same period of 2008. The most difficult period for Vietnam’s seafood industry is forecast to come in Q2 and Q3. Experts said that in Q1 2009, enterprises mainly fulfilled the orders they received in 2008, and with materials left over from 2008. Meanwhile, they will meet difficulties in terms of both input materials and outlet markets as of April. As farmers incurred heavy losses in 2008, they have reduced aquaculture productivity. Seafood companies have had to purchase materials at high prices to fulfill the contracts they signed before. The difficulties are expected to ease up in Q3, as the difficulties in input materials will be settled. However, experts have warned that export prices will not increase, while many companies will have to get export contracts by offering low prices. Over the past month, the tra price in the Cuu Long River Delta has been increasing continuously. The 1-class tra fish price has reached VND16,500-17,000/kg, while 2-class VND16,000-16,200/kg. At such prices, farmers can earn profit of VND1,000-2,000/kg. When asked if a material fish shortage could occur when tra is exported to Russia again, experts said that it is not a worrying issue. They said that companies and farmers have been well preparing for the exporting by developing material areas. Every enterprise has a material area which can meet 60-70% of total volume needed, and farmers will employ improved breeding techniques so that the fish will be the required sizes in a shorter time. The old lessons According to Nguyen Van Thanh, Director of the An Giang Agriculture and Rural Development Department, the government has listed tra fish among the strategic export items. The Cuu Long River Delta now has 168 seafood export companies, but only 57 have processing workshops, while the   other 111 companies, holding 11% of the market share, only export.

2007, the Russian side served warnings on 16 consignments of Vietnamese seafood after it discovered indications of poor quality. Meanwhile, in 2008, the number was 38, including 27 consignments of tra and basa fish products. This shows that several Vietnamese companies did not pay appropriate attention to quality when exporting products to Russia. They are advised to keep a sharp eye on quality this time so that that door to Russia does not close again.  Source: TBKTVN

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Vietnamese garment companies now targeting Japanese market

As the amount of goods exported to other loyal markets has been decreasing dramatically due to the global economic recession, Vietnamese companies have decided to boost exports to Japan, taking full advantage of the VJEPA (Vietnam-Japan Economic Partnership Agreement). The workshop of the Saigon 3 Garment Joint Stock Company now is running at full capacity as the company is making products to fulfill a contract to According to the Vietnam Textile and Apparel Association, in the last five years, the turnover of garments exported to Japan has increased by 1.5 times with the average growth rate of 11%, from $530 million worth of turnover in 2004 to $820 million in 2008. In Q1 2009, export turnover was $210 million, up by 20% over the same period of last year.

According to the Vietnam Textile and Apparel Association, in the last five years, the turnover of garments exported to Japan has increased by 1.5 times with the average growth rate of 11%, from $530 million worth of turnover in 2004 to $820 million in 2008. In Q1 2009, export turnover was $210 million, up by 20% over the same period of last year.

We have exported $25 million worth of products so far, 65% of which has gone to the Japanese market. This is the only market which has not seen any decreases in the number of orders and unit export prices,” said Pham Xuan Hong, Chairman of the Saigon 3 Garment Joint Stock Company. Patience is needed Hong said that Japan is a difficult-to-please market. However, if companies can overcome difficulties and meet the requirements of Japanese partners, they will win the confidence of partners and get long-term and stable contracts. Not only Saigon 3, other garment companies are reconsidering export market structures. Viet Tien, Nha Be and Phong Phu have also got big orders for shirts, suits and towels from Japanese partners. Viet Tien Company has confirmed that 33% of its exports have been going to Japan, more than the quantity that goes to the US and EU. Phan Van Kiet, Deputy General Director of Viet Tien Company, said that the company has been developing Japan as a potential market since 2007. “Unlike other markets which are risky and unstable, the Japanese market can offer long-term, high stability,” said Kiet. VJEPA will help bring more garment products to Japan

Right after VJEPA went into effect with the import tax on Vietnam-made garment products lowered from 5-10% to 0%, both the Vietnam Textile and Garment Group (Vinatext) and the Vietnam Textile and Apparel Association (Vitas) signed important agreements with some big Japanese garment groups like Shikibo and Mitsui.

Vinatas’ Chairman Le Quoc An, who is also the chairman of Vinatex, said that Vietnam’s garment industry, with its competitive edges, can absolutely meet the  requirements set by Japanese importers.

“More and more Japanese importers have shifted to place orders with Vietnamese exporters because they highly appreciate the stability and skill of Vietnamese workers,” An said. However, in order to be able to take full advantage of the VJEPA with its 0% import tax rate, Vietnamese companies have to arrange materials themselves, which is not an easy thing. The companies have to use materials sourced from Vietnam, Japan or ASEAN countries. Source: TT

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